I'm surprised to hear this (and doubtful) because my understanding is that at least for women the number not having kids by the end of their reproductive life has remained stable (approx 20%) with only slight variation. I'm sure I saw some evidence genetically that this number goes back a long way too. Bleak if you want them or if it correlates with not finding a compatible partner but seemingly predictable.There's a reason birth rates are an increasingly prominent feature in discourse and policymaking today. Population ageing and decline is one of the most powerful forces in the world, shaping everything from economics to politics and the environment.
But a weakness to the debate - perhaps even the term 'birth rates' itself - is that it implies the goal is the same today as it was in the past: finding ways to encourage couples to have more children. A closer look at the data suggests a whole new challenge.
Take the US as an example. Between 1960 and 1980, the average number of children born to a woman halved from almost four to two, even as the share of women in married couples edged only modestly lower. There were still plenty of couples in happy, stable relationships. They were just electing to have smaller families.
But in recent years most of the fall is coming not from the decisions made by couples, but from a marked fall in the number of couples. Had*US rates of marriage and cohabitation*remained constant over the past decade, America's total fertility rate would be higher today than it was then.
The change is that women are having children later but still having them, so they have less children and smaller families. So in that sense the change is the smaller families.
Trying to get the 20% to have kids seems like it would be even more difficult because they/we never did (I assume I'm part of that group - too mentally ill and [BEEP] lol. Don't want to give birth, too many issues I think to be a good enough parent in the short reproductive window and hell life window we have on this planet. Too many to even try to get a relationship imo let alone a kid.) Might require technological revolution and acceptance/promotion of single parenting with support of robot helpers. I could see that encouraging people to have kids who cant find Human partners. Some of the percentage would just make bad parents though and we have to accept that and that there are probably pros and cons to population collapse. Depending on who reproduces.
I think people are [BEEP] scared of having a huge group of people wandering around with nothing to lose lol.The central demographic story of modern times is not just declining rates of childbearing but rising rates of singledom: a much more fundamental shift in the nature of modern societies.
Relationships are not just becoming less common, but increasingly fragile. In egalitarian Finland, it is now more*common for couples who move in together to split up*than to have a child, a sharp reversal of the historical norm.
When pictured as a rise in happily childless Dinks (dual income, no kids couples) with plenty of disposable income, the social trends accompanying falling birth rates seem benign.
Meh they probably should be. A lot of people are very pissed off.
But the rise of singledom and relationship dissolution is a less rosy story, especially considering the drop in relationship formation is steepest among*the poorest. Of course, many people are happily single. The freedom to choose how to spend one?s life and who with (or without) is to be celebrated. But the wider data on*loneliness*and*dating frustrations*suggests not all is well.
The trend is global. From the US, Finland and South Korea to Turkey, Tunisia and Thailand,*falling birth rates*are increasingly downstream of a relationship recession among young adults.*Baby bonuses*put the cart before the horse when a growing share of people are without a partner. Even in parts of Sub-Saharan Africa, similar trends may be under way.You don't need a smart phone but if you spend a lot of time online on even a desktop computer you'll see the worst people imaginable (right wing American men. Lol I mean thats most of who you'll find on twitter,) posting bs so it makes sense that you'd be cautious of taking the risk of getting into a relationship if your norm is so skewed.Why an almost worldwide decline, and why now? The fact that this is happening almost everywhere all at once points more to broad changes acting across borders than country-specific factors.
The proliferation of smartphones and social media has been one such exogenous shock. Geographical differences in the rise of singledom broadly track mobile internet usage, particularly among women, whose calculus in weighing up potential partners is changing. This is consistent with*research*showing social media facilitates the spread of liberal values (notably only among women) and boosts female empowerment.
I do think this is probably a lazy answer though at this point (hiding the problems of a hypercompetitive culture) and missing some stuff.
But apparently women who are in all female environment are less likely to focus on marriage and more on career (resource aquisition,) makes sense so you can artificially trigger that too via the internet I guess (but university too depending on what you study and since less men these fays go to uni. But this is ironic to me since almost everyone I hung out with when I was at uni was a guy. Many of them were quite picky and judgmental too let me tell you and more on that later in this post):
https://www.bps.org.uk/research-dige...s-career-focus
How does availability of men in the environment affect women's career focus?I think this must just apply to straight women.There are at least two explanations for why this effect exists. One is that sex ratio shapes the labour market, fewer men entailing more employment opportunities for women. The second is that sex ratio shapes a mating market, making finding a partner harder and thus encouraging a different strategy for life security. To differentiate between these, another experiment replicated the previous one using a similar exposure technique and also asked the 58 participants to rate how difficult it would be to acquire a good job or to find a mate (phrased in terms of marriage and dating prospects). Those participants exposed to a high-female ratio were more likely to see mate-finding as tough, but their expectations for the ease of finding a job were similar to their counterparts. Pulling the data into a model, the researchers demonstrated that putting career first was mediated not by their expectations that good work would be easier to find, but that a good mate would be harder to find.
I dislike how research ignores that people very clearly have multiple mating strategies.
Back to competition though there are a lot of people who think even making friends is pointless and treat it like networking. I saw a post about this yesterday (the relevant part is later in the quote just providing background context):
Lol my time has come. Not really though I'm non-binary so can't date lesbian women really (this post was on a lesbians over 25 subreddit) since I identify as a man partly and all that:
Shy traumatized dweebs who don't go outside, please touch grass so I can meet you
Seriously, please, I just want to talk to someone I relate with. Y'all don't need a reality check, but please just physically be in a location where I can at least make friends with you.
Everyone here who actually goes to big events is a hiking/sports (or business/travel) lesbian who has not touched a book that's not self-help in the past 10 years, doesn't do crafty or art stuff, only engages with very mass-market media, and has not played a video game other than maybe a vague memory of Pokemon when they were 6. They just roller derby, camp, go to soccer games, or somehow fly to other countries on a whim because they're way into stonks. I know, I was there, I asked them. They're lovely people but it's kind of hard to contribute to group conversations. I end up just talking with the chill married 50+ lesbians who are like 10/10 cool but not a dating pool ;_;
This is a cry for help, an SOS. I'm literally begging. We will never meet each other if you don't go outside. I hit shy dweeb escape velocity and now I'm a slightly-less-shy dweeb who goes outside. Just go to lesbian board game nights, arts and crafts body doubling, dweeby sci-fi sapphic reading groups, webcomic fangirl coffee shop meetups, anything, please.
You don't have to agonize about how to cold approach and flirt with random girls at the bar, it's like insanely unlikely to work and even worse if you don't just want to hook up anyway. Its best use is practicing being okay with rejection, not getting a girlfriend.
I dunno I was daydreaming I was another person where I could just not be an anxious mess and make out with someone at a bar or something. You know normal Human stuff.
That's how I found this I was curious if women ever hooked up in bars like straight couples do (or did, though even that was uncommon,) or if that's essentially impossible. A guy I hung out with in the early 2010s made out with a woman in a bar once.
With sex I mostly worry about stds though. Wish they didn't exist.
I find it so infinitely interesting that so many lesbians in these so called "welcoming cities" in countries that are supposed to be way more progressive in terms of LGBT matters have trouble finding [BEEP] friends.
I literally live in a conservative 3rd world country. We have ZERO laws that protect us here as gays, and yet the [BEEP] community is alive and kicking. I am 34 and I am still making new [BEEP] friends at least every other month.
I don't think this is a lesbian issue. I think it's a cultural issue. I used to live in the west for several years (US and Europe) and westerners are just so difficult to make friends with. Compared to southeast Asians, you guys are just so closed off and suspicious of people. I always felt like I had to prove my worth to be friends.
Yeah I agree and I think everyone in Western countries is very polarised now on top of the general coldness and the internet encourages that.
I've heard someone from the US on YT (a pronatalist guy actually with 4 kids so far so this is ironic) straight up argue he only talks to people who he can network with or who are influential basically because he doesn't see the point of friends because that's what his wife is for.
I've met many people (guys mostly) who clearly operated in a similar way but didn't say so. Which I assume is why men are lonely (and apparently most people with a close friend are friends with women) but the problems extend to everyone really.Most people want to have kids under ideal circumstances but there's nothing more disgusting to a woman than having this framed as an obligation or the desperation of male conservatives.The fall in coupling is deepest in extremely-online Europe, east Asia and Latin America, followed by the Middle East and then Africa. Singledom remains rare in south Asia, where*women?s web access is*more limited.
This is not to overstate the role of social media. Other cultural differences between countries and regions mediate both the spread of liberal ideals and people?s ability to act on them.*Caste and honour systems encourage high rates of marriage, irrespective of media access, and female education, income and employment differ markedly between regions.
Meanwhile lots of men do not want kids and in the past women sometimes forced them into it (still do, but I think at a lower rate,) and also people accidentally had kids they didn't want in the same way but the former thing - men being lied to about contraception etc - is not a conversation anyone wants to have.
Conservatives complain about abortion but don't question if some people might be better off not having kids because their kids won't thrive in the nightmare world.
I've seen this pointed out by many men but we do not have conversations about male ambivalence only female for some insane reason. A lot of men do not really care about having kids or relationships they are doing other stuff instead.
They're busy getting killed by gangs of men in columbia who are pissed off about sex tourism or finding a South East Asian woman to divorce them after getting a green card lol no. It's video games mostly.
Men and women want different things from a relationship. Men want submissive feminine women who boost their ego and talk about how masculine they are all day while doing all the housework, maybe have kids, and wear cat ears (cat girls) and women want submissive feminine men who boost their ego and do all the housework (maidboys,) wear cat ears (catboys,) and carry and give birth to children (omegaverse,) let them have strap on sex oh wait. They want the same things xD
Lol no shitposting is fun though. There is some truth to it always. Just not the whole picture.
Love the part where she's finished with one half of the BORING academic explanations/justifications and just plays the credits but then carries on.
I'm still not 100% satisfied with any analysis I've seen on this topic because it always has to portray women as victims to some degree. It's a denial of sadism to some extent.
Men engage in that more than anyone. 'It's just a revenge fantasy no women would really enjoy being sadistic... They're all submissive massochists, unlike men who are just monsters by nature.'
I always get that vibe.
I think it's wishful thinking.
MRAs do the complete opposite "all women are evil" it's better but still wrong.
"Despite all of the potential of omegaverse it is still, most often, a universe where cis white men experience misogyny and oppression. It's still about characters who look like the typical everyman who has always been the protagoist of media. Some have argued that the potential subversive power of slash and omegaverse will always be limited so long as they continue to centre white male bodies. Even if they're supposedly stand ins for marginalised bodies because is that not a way of erasing those actual marginalised identities?
As I said I haven't engaged with that universe much but I do enjoy some cis male misogyny/objectification in other similar stuff. I'm no better than most men.
I'm the most reasonable one. I just want a 1970s rock star with long hair.
I found this gif again while looking for the omegaverse video quote from a previous post I made lol.
I mean he can work in a library if he owns a pet rabbit I think. My standards for women actually seem to be much higher. *thinks about Sabrina Carpenter* Usually.. Unless they're trans. I can offend everyone I think. What a superpower.
I say 'can' but no you should be in a library ideally I think. Its like an urban forest. Because of all the paper. It's also kind of like a church which again works well from a corruption pov. Also like how Aella had sex with a woman on top of a church once. Taboo. I think most libraries are more like places you go to use computers or print stuff now which is unfortunate because its harder to eroticise. Not impossible but just different. I mean eroticising technology and robots isn't too hard but you know libraries and books go together better.
Unless you're Sabrina. I know this is controversial but I think she might be too hot for libraries to work for her in this way, but it's hard to say. I think she looks better being arrested on the beach and being kind of manic. Like she could play Loki or something that kind of vibe. She's not wearing glasses so that factors in too. I dunno there's much to consider about body language and vibe etc imo.
I mean Emma Watson played Hermione so.
I like older women sometimes if they're yelling (specific gif.) Or Lilith. I actually only like people in gifs and music videos or playing music live lol. Mostly guys. But there are less guys I stumble on these days unless they're a weird Nick Fuentes fan I guess. Not a musician just a long haired skinny guy. /shallow
Cause I don't meet people irl but even when I did it didn't work out with guys.
Not 100% sure on this but I think North East Asian people are a lot more cautious and that's why they have the lowest rates. They have lower rates of other impulsive behaviours I think too.
Anything to stop the upper class having to do anything about the ever widening economic inequality eh?But while the specific mechanisms are up for debate, the proliferation of singledom and its role in cratering birth rates shows that while financial incentives and other policy tweaks*can nudge birth rates higher, they are labouring against much stronger sociocultural forces.
Policies aimed at facilitating relationship formation might be more effective than those aimed at helping couples have babies.
A world of rising singledom*is not necessarily any better or worse than one filled with couples and families, but it is fundamentally different to what has come before, with major*social, economic and*political*implications. We are faced with a conundrum: is this what people really want? If not, what needs to change?
I appreciate the clarification. One thing I hate about these statistics is that they usually just mean whether someone is married. I'd also like to know how many people are truly single like not even dating someone and for how long and so on but finding this info is suspiciously hard a bit like how they obfuscate employment statistics.It should be pointed out that, in this context, "single" means not "unmarried" but "neither married nor cohabitating". People aren't more reluctant to marry their partners but less likely to even have a partner to marry.
It feels intentional sometimes especially with employment stuff if it comes from official sources. I don't know.
There's a big political divide between men and women. Men want conservative women and women want men that affirm their freedoms. This contributesJesus.My ex literally said this to me "you're like my therapist and slave.”m" He tried to deny it but I heard it clear as day.
Edit: he confessed after driving me somewhere dark and secluded some of the most disgusting things to me including cheating on me while I was pregnant.
Also not the same commenter as above it is insane how many women I've seen talk about this next quote. Unfortunately it's because a bunch of women actually are into that but most women hate it and guys get the wrong idea:
Hearing this stuff also contributes obviously. There are articles about it too. Like just engaging in hardcore bdsm without conversation...I gave up on dating for a lot of reasons, but the big one was the last few guys I dated putting their hands around my neck when going for a FIRST kiss. Over it. It’s easier and safer to be alone.
I'm trying to be vague here too as that comment isn't conveying the worst of it.
I didn't like being kissed without consent let alone this.
How is any guy this r*tarded? it blows my mind.
Obviously some guy's are predators but one woman said she freaked out when a guy did that and then when the guy realised 'oh this is a fucked up thing to do out of the blue' he broke down and started crying and apologising. I suppose you could cynically assume its an act but she didnt seem to think so. A lot of people are not OK.
Is already hard enough to find someone compatible, with no vices, healthy, humourous, good looking and a good cook, let alone a good [BEEP]!No actually. Everyone has vices so that's unrealistic and its telling that they assumed that they were talking about women. Who doesn't want someone who can cook, is good looking and really humour is more attractive to women than men tbh so....Women can be all those things you described if they have enough incentives to. Men in the west do have it harder when it comes to providing those incentives.
No they know medical science is no where near achieving that. Elon who is the most tech-bro one afaik doesn't seem that into the idea either. Its mostly being pushed by wealthy transhumanist and Sillicon Valley folks who are wealthy but not billionaire level.Let’s say that billionaires are decently confident that they will have radical life extension sometime in the next 20 years.
Let’s also say that they know they can’t keep it from the masses.
Wouldn’t you also try to engineer a society where the birth rate fell so low that we’re in no danger of people live 200, 300 years or longer?
Isn’t the easiest way to do this through the dating app hellscape, insanely high housing prices, low relative wages, since so many people feel like they need to “make it” before settling down…
As well as whatever the hell is going on with Gen Z and relationships.
Just food for thought…
Elon only supports pronatalism to get more workers for Mars. He doesn't have the social skills to hide his intentions well. He literally posted that lol before he started posting about the topic regularly. He really only cares about his own ego and his personal projects (space exploration being the main one.)
They look out for their own interests as much as everyone else. They just have the power and resources to have a bigger negative impact when they do so.Dating app hellscapes, high housing costs, and low wages have one simple thing in common... corporate greed
I always assume incompetence and self-interest over complicated long-term plans. The billionaires aren't as smart as everyone thinks
They have long term plans too they just don't all agree on those long term plans
The life insurance industry in the US is hands down the best example of corporate greed. So I'm not surprised by recent events given people's increasing desperation. It's an industry that maximises profits at basically all costs and the cost is literally Human lives in the most direct way. Most industries just passively kill people indirectly with what's the term 'plausible deniability' that's it. Those guys literally decide if people should live or die to make more money.
"We don't kill them. It's illegal for hospitals not to treat them. We just give them the choice between crippling debt and poverty (which we know leads to a lower life expectancy especially in the US and UK because its worse in countries with greater inequality between the richest and poorest,) instead of the service they've been paying for for years"
This is why CEOs with children get assassinated.
It's a problem with nationalised health care too. If they think something isn't economically viable they can avoid it which can lead to death again. Like in the UK with the chickenpox vaccine although thankfully the risk was very low.
Another issue is choosing not to fund health care in the first place. Or a lack of experts in the field leading to poor care.
Even then when you consider results and cost nationalised systems are cheaper for better results overall. But not perfect.